Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000635 0.000729 0.000829 0.000942 0.001068 0.001202 0.001355
2025-04-27 0.000493 0.000623 0.000772 0.000952 0.001163 0.001402 0.001690
2025-05-04 0.000409 0.000553 0.000724 0.000942 0.001208 0.001518 0.001906
2025-05-11 0.000341 0.000490 0.000677 0.000924 0.001235 0.001610 0.002091
2025-05-18 0.000301 0.000457 0.000660 0.000936 0.001295 0.001738 0.002319
2025-05-25 0.000265 0.000424 0.000638 0.000938 0.001339 0.001845 0.002520
2025-06-01 0.000225 0.000380 0.000596 0.000909 0.001339 0.001892 0.002646
2025-06-08 0.000191 0.000341 0.000559 0.000882 0.001337 0.001935 0.002764
2025-06-15 0.000170 0.000318 0.000540 0.000880 0.001366 0.002019 0.002936
2025-06-22 0.000151 0.000297 0.000523 0.000878 0.001396 0.002101 0.003107
2025-06-29 0.000133 0.000275 0.000502 0.000866 0.001410 0.002163 0.003250
2025-07-06 0.000116 0.000253 0.000478 0.000849 0.001415 0.002210 0.003374
2025-07-13 0.000108 0.000245 0.000478 0.000869 0.001475 0.002337 0.003613
2025-07-20 0.000099 0.000235 0.000473 0.000882 0.001524 0.002451 0.003836
2025-07-27 0.000087 0.000219 0.000455 0.000871 0.001538 0.002512 0.003986
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000201 0.000434 0.000854 0.001540 0.002557 0.004111
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000194 0.000431 0.000866 0.001587 0.002667 0.004333
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000184 0.000422 0.000868 0.001618 0.002754 0.004523
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000167 0.000398 0.000841 0.001600 0.002767 0.004604
2025-08-31 0.000046 0.000151 0.000375 0.000816 0.001584 0.002781 0.004686
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000143 0.000365 0.000813 0.001605 0.002852 0.004854
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000135 0.000356 0.000811 0.001626 0.002925 0.005024
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000126 0.000343 0.000800 0.001632 0.002972 0.005157